Decarbonizing Building and Transport Sectors in Thailand towards Net Zero Emissions 2050

Lorm, Rathana; Limmeechokchai, Bundit · 2025 · Crossref

DOI: 10.56261/jars.v22.271491

archive: archived pipeline: cataloged verified

Get this paper ↗ (DOI — opens at the source; we link to it, we don't host it)

Summary

The provided text is the front matter, table of contents, and list of figures for *The 7th ASEAN Energy Outlook (AEO7)*, published by the ASEAN Centre for Energy in 2022. It is not a research paper with a specific hypothesis, methodology, and results section, but rather a comprehensive regional energy projection report. Consequently, a standard academic summary of experimental findings is not applicable. However, based on the forewords and structural outline, the document’s scope and key projected insights can be summarized. The AEO7 addresses the energy landscape of the ten ASEAN Member States (AMS) from 2020 to 2050, motivated by the need to navigate post-pandemic recovery, global energy price volatility, and the transition toward sustainable energy. The report aims to provide policymakers with insights to achieve regional energy targets regarding security, accessibility, affordability, and sustainability. It builds upon the ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation (APAEC) and explores multiple future pathways to address challenges such as energy intensity reduction and renewable energy integration. The methodology involves extensive modelling conducted in-house by ACE, supported by the Stockholm Environment Institute and national experts from all AMS. The report utilizes four primary scenarios: the Baseline Scenario, the AMS (National) Targets Scenario (ATS), the APAEC (Regional) Targets Scenario (APS), and a newly introduced Least-Cost Optimisation (LCO) Scenario. The LCO scenario is a technology-neutral optimisation model designed to identify the most cost-effective electricity generation mix, considering technology maturity, affordability, and energy storage deployment. Data was collected from AMS National Focal Points and the ASEAN Energy Database System, with disaggregated analysis for commercial and industrial sectors. Key findings indicate that while ASEAN achieved a 23.8% energy intensity reduction in 2020, continuing progress under national targets alone will not meet the regional target of 32% by 2025. Similarly, a 5.5% gap is projected for renewable energy share in Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) by 2025 under the ATS, although the installed capacity target of 37.9% is expected to be exceeded. The LCO Scenario reveals a cost-effective alternative for the power sector, projecting USD 174.7 billion in savings compared to the APS over the 2021–2050 period. However, this cost optimization results in a 5.3% lower share of renewables in TPES by 2050 compared to the APS, though it achieves a 3.5% higher energy intensity reduction. The report also details sector-specific analyses, including grid integration technologies, fossil fuel utilization during transition, industrial efficiency improvements, and financing mechanisms for energy transition. The significance of the AEO7 lies in its role as a key reference for ASEAN policymakers, offering a detailed comparison of policy-driven versus cost-optimized energy futures. It highlights the trade-offs between cost-effectiveness and renewable energy deployment, providing a framework for balancing economic viability with environmental sustainability. The report underscores the importance of stringent energy efficiency measures, increased electrification, and regional cooperation to bridge gaps in meeting ASEAN’s energy and climate goals.

Provenance

The full processing record for this entry. Every stage of this paper's journey through the pipeline is logged — what ran, with which tool and model, how many attempts it took, and when it last completed.

Summary generated by qwen3.6-27b-prismaquant on 2026-06-26; verification: verified.

Topics

Ranked by relevance to this paper. Hover a topic for its definition.

• driverless ads