Brazilian Road Traffic Fatalities: A Spatial and Environmental Analysis

de Andrade, Luciano; Vissoci, João Ricardo Nickenig; Rodrigues, Clarissa Garcia; Karen, Finato; Carvalho, Elias; Pietrobon, Ricardo; de Souza, Eniuce Menezes; Nihei, Oscar Kenji; Lynch, Catherine; Carvalho, Maria Dalva de Barros · 2014 · OpenAlex-citations

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0087244

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Summary

This study addresses the public health crisis of road traffic injuries (RTIs) in Brazil, a low- and middle-income country with high fatality rates. The research aimed to map RTI hotspots on the BR-277 highway in Paraná state and identify specific environmental factors contributing to fatal crashes. By combining spatial hotspot analysis with built environment assessment, the authors sought to provide data-driven insights for resource allocation and safety interventions, addressing a gap in literature regarding the joint analysis of crash locations and environmental determinants. The researchers conducted a descriptive, cross-sectional study using data from the Brazilian Federal Highway Police Database for crashes occurring between 2007 and 2009. The study focused on 60 sectors of the 732-kilometer BR-277 highway. Four analytical techniques were employed: kernel density estimation and wavelet analysis to identify statistically significant crash hotspots; principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce fifteen built environment variables into three components (Urban Characteristics, Road Surface, and Road Configuration); and K-means clustering to categorize sectors into environmental patterns. Field researchers collected environmental data, including lighting, lane configuration, and urban density, which were then correlated with crash types (pedestrian vs. vehicular). The analysis covered 379 crashes resulting in 466 fatalities. Spatial analysis revealed that eastern and western regions had higher crash incidences than the central region. Contrary to expectations, double-lane sections had a 2:1 higher fatality ratio compared to single-lane sections, likely due to higher traffic density and speed in urban areas. Wavelet analysis confirmed the persistence of these hotspots across consecutive years. Built environment analysis identified five distinct patterns: Patterns 2 and 4, characterized by urban features, were associated with frequent fatal pedestrian crashes, while Patterns 1, 3, and 5, displaying rural characteristics, correlated with higher vehicular collisions. Specific variables significantly associated with increased fatal crashes included longer road lengths within urban areas, limited lighting, double-lane roadways, and fewer auxiliary lanes. The study concludes that specific environmental characteristics are strongly associated with different types of fatal crashes, allowing for targeted interventions. The identification of persistent hotspots and their associated environmental risks provides a framework for governmental agencies to implement life-saving policies. The findings suggest that infrastructure improvements, such as better lighting and traffic engineering in urban hotspots, and specific measures for rural sections, could reduce RTIs. This approach of combining spatial and environmental analysis offers a comprehensive method for addressing road safety challenges in developing economies.

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