Synthesis of Safety Research Related to Speed and Speed Management [1998]

Stuster, Jack, 1947-; Coffman, Zail; Warren, Davey · 1998 · ROSA P / United States. Federal Highway Administration

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Summary

This 1998 report by the Federal Highway Administration and National Highway Traffic Safety Administration synthesizes safety research regarding vehicle speed, speed limits, enforcement, and engineering measures. Updating a 1982 synthesis, the document addresses the persistent public safety issue of speed, which is cited as a factor in 30% of fatal crashes and 12% of all crashes. The study aims to clarify the relationships between speed and crash incidence/severity, identify factors influencing driver speed choices, and evaluate the effectiveness of various speed management strategies. The authors conducted a systematic review of literature, utilizing bibliographic databases such as NTIS, TRIS, and ITE, resulting in an inventory of approximately 700 citations supplemented by known pertinent items. The analysis covers landmark studies, including Solomon’s 1964 research, alongside more recent international data from Australia, Europe, and Canada. The review examines empirical data on crash involvement rates, kinetic energy impacts, driver behavior, and the outcomes of altering speed limits or implementing enforcement and traffic calming measures. Key findings distinguish between crash incidence and severity. Regarding incidence, early studies suggested a U-shaped curve where crash risk increased for drivers deviating significantly above or below the mean traffic speed. However, later research indicated that excluding vehicles slowing for maneuvers attenuates the risk associated with slow driving, suggesting that high variance in speed, rather than absolute speed, drives crash frequency through increased overtaking conflicts. Conversely, the relationship between speed and crash severity is unequivocal and exponential; kinetic energy increases with the square of velocity. Data shows that the risk of serious injury rises sharply when the change in speed at impact (delta V) exceeds 30 mi/h, and fatality risk increases with the fourth power of speed change. For pedestrians, fatality rates jump from 5% at 20 mi/h to 85% at 40 mi/h. The report concludes that while raising speed limits on freeways generally increases speeds and crash severity, altering limits on non-freeways has minimal effect on actual driving speeds. Lowering speed limits consistently reduces crash incidence and severity. Driver speed choices are influenced by road characteristics, environmental conditions, and individual attitudes, with younger drivers and those traveling for business more likely to speed. The synthesis emphasizes that effective speed management must address both the variance in traffic speeds to reduce crash frequency and the absolute speed to mitigate injury severity, particularly for vulnerable road users.

Key finding

Crash severity increases exponentially with impact speed, while lowering speed limits generally reduces both vehicle speeds and crash frequencies.

Methodology

review

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