Crash Data Safety Factors Evaluation

Donnell, Eric T.; Gayah, Vikash V.; Kersavage, Kristin; Donnell, Eric T. · 2017 · ROSA P / Pennsylvania. Department of Transportation

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Summary

This study, conducted by researchers at The Pennsylvania State University for the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation, evaluates annual trends and contributory factors for four specific crash categories: mature drivers, vulnerable road users, fatal and serious injury crashes involving guiderails, and collisions resulting from vehicle failures. The research was motivated by the need to identify causal factors to inform safety programs and federal funding applications, given the significant societal costs of traffic crashes in Pennsylvania. The analysis utilized three years of electronic crash data (2014–2016), appended with roadway inventory, traffic volume, and driver license data to establish exposure measures. Researchers identified specific crash types using database flags and codes, distinguishing between at-fault and not-at-fault scenarios where applicable. Statistical comparisons were performed between the crash types of interest and baseline reference groups to determine if specific factors, such as weather, time of day, or location, were overrepresented. For instance, mature driver crashes were compared to general crash data to isolate age-related risk factors. The findings reveal distinct patterns for each category. Mature driver crashes increased annually, with drivers aged 65+ representing over 15% of total crashes by 2016. These crashes were overrepresented during wet weather, at night, and at intersections, particularly stop-controlled ones, suggesting issues with visibility and gap judgment. Vulnerable road user crashes also increased. Pedestrian and bicycle crashes were predominantly urban, occurring at night and during rain, with visibility and failure to obey traffic controls as key factors. Motorcycle crashes were linked to speeding, alcohol, and collisions with fixed objects on curves at night. Horse-drawn buggy crashes were overrepresented at night and involved careless turning or rear-end collisions due to speed differentials. Guiderail crashes involving fatalities or serious injuries were overrepresented on rural roads, horizontal curves, and wet pavement, often involving impaired drivers. Vehicle failure crashes, consistent with national statistics, were primarily caused by tire, brake, and steering system failures. The study concludes that targeted mitigation strategies can address these specific risks. Recommendations include improved delineation on rural curves to reduce guiderail crashes, DUI checkpoints on rural highways, and enhanced annual inspections for vehicle systems prone to failure. The results highlight that while mature drivers may travel less frequently, their crashes are concentrated in conditions requiring high visual acuity and complex decision-making, such as intersections and poor weather.

Key finding

Mature driver crashes were overrepresented at intersections and during wet or nighttime conditions, while guiderail crashes were overrepresented on rural horizontal curves and wet pavement surfaces.

Methodology

dataset

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The full processing record for this entry. Every stage of this paper's journey through the pipeline is logged — what ran, with which tool and model, how many attempts it took, and when it last completed. Discovered via bulk_ingest_rosap on 2026-05-23 (6 acquisition events logged).

StageOutcomeToolModelPromptAttemptsCompleted
discover success rosap 2 2026-05-23
archive success 1 2026-05-23
extract success cached 2 2026-06-10
clean success 1 2026-06-01
chunk success 1 2026-06-01
embed success 1 2026-06-02
enrich success 1 2026-05-23
promote success 1 2026-05-23
summarize success llm qwen3.6-27b-prismaquant summ-v5 3 2026-06-10
tag success vector_similarity 19 2026-06-11
verify success 2 2026-06-10

Summary generated by qwen3.6-27b-prismaquant on 2026-06-10; verification: verified.

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