judgment heuristics biases

Judgment under uncertainty, heuristics, and cognitive biases: probabilistic and intuitive judgment, the heuristics-and-biases program, anchoring, availability, representativeness, overconfidence, base-rate neglect, framing effects, and dual-process accounts of reasoning. The foundational construct of how people estimate likelihood and form judgments and the systematic errors they make. Unlike decision_making_risk_perception, which is the evaluation of options and choice among actions, this concerns the upstream judgment and probability-estimation processes and their biases; unlike individual_differences, which is between-person variation in ability, this names the judgment mechanisms themselves.

3 paper(s) · ranked by relevance to this topic

  1. Cognitive Biases in Human Causal Learning · 2007 · Maldonado, Antonio et al. · archived
  2. Categories of Large Numbers in Line Estimation · 2016 · Landy, David et al. · indexed